Research Publications 

These papers were published with attribution to ACCESS funded projects or affiliated projects that used data or funding acquired through the ACCESS programme. 


Makunyane, M.S., Rautenbach, H., Sweijd, N., Botai, J. and Wichmann, J., 2023. Health Risks of Temperature Variability on Hospital Admissions in Cape Town, 2011–2016. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 20(2), p.1159.

Motlogeloa, O., Fitchett, J.M. and Sweijd, N., 2023. Defining the South African Acute Respiratory Infectious Disease Season. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 20(2), p.1074.

Zamantimande Kunene, Thandi Kapwata, Angela Mathee, Neville Sweijd, Noboru Minakawa, Natasha Naidoo and Caradee Y. Wright. 2023. Exploring the Association between Ambient Temperature and Daily Hospital Admissions for Diarrhea in Mopani District, Limpopo Province, South Africa. Healthcare 2023, 11, 1251. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare11091251.


Abdullahi, T., Nitschke, G. and Sweijd, N., 2022. Predicting diarrhoea outbreaks with climate change. Plos one, 17(4), p.e0262008.

Atkins, J.F., Anderson, P.M. and Bouland, C., 2022. The nitrogen budget of an urban watershed: Zeekoevlei, Cape Town. Landscape and Urban Planning, 227, p.104540. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2022.104540

Bell, W.D., Visser, V., Kirsten, T. and Hoffman, M.T., 2022. An evaluation of different approaches which use Google Street View imagery to ground truth land degradation assessments. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 194(10), p.732. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-022-10438-5.

De Kock, W.M., R.C. Blamey, C.J.C. Reason, 2022: Large-scale mechanisms linked to anomalously wet summers over the southwestern Cape, South Africa, Climate Dyn., 59, 3503–3517, doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06280-7

Mawren, D., R. Blamey, J. Hermes and C.J.C. Reason, 2022: On the importance of the Mozambique Channel for the climate of southeastern Africa. Climate Dyn., doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06334-w

Mawren, D., J. Hermes and C.J.C. Reason, 2022: Marine heatwaves and tropical cyclones - two devastating types of coastal hazard in southeastern Africa. Estuar. Coastal Shelf Sci., special issue on Coastal Hazards in Africa, 277, 108056, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2022.108056

Mashifane, T.B., Bourbonnais, A. and Fawcett, S.E., 2022. Nitrous oxide dynamics in the southern Benguela upwelling system. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 127(11), p.e2022JC019129.

Mpungose, N., W. Thoithi, R. Blamey and C.J.C. Reason, 2022: Extreme rainfall events in southeastern Africa during the summer, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 150(1), 185-201. doi.org/10.1007/s00704-022-04162-w.

Ngubane, D., Parrini, F., de Lemos, H. and Ernst, Y., 2022. Matching land surface phenology with the phenology of net ecosystem exchange (NEE) in the Kruger National Park, South Africa. Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment, 28, p.100840.

Priyadarshani, D., Altwegg, R., Lee, A.T. and Hwang, W.H., 2022. What can occupancy models gain from time‐to‐detection data?. Ecology, 103(12), p.e3832. https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.3832

Raubenheimer, S.L., Simpson, K., Carkeek, R. and Ripley, B., 2022. Could CO2-induced changes to C4 grass flammability aggravate savanna woody encroachment? African Journal of Range & Forage Science, 39(1), pp.82-95.

Raubenheimer, S.L. and Ripley, B.S., 2022. CO2‐stimulation of savanna tree seedling growth depends on interactions with local drivers. Journal of Ecology, 110(5), pp.1090-1101.

Ripley, B.S., Bopape, T.M. and Vetter, S., 2022. A doubling of atmospheric CO2 mitigates the effects of severe drought on maize through the preservation of soil water. Annals of Botany, 129(5), pp.607-618.

Ripley, B.S., Raubenheimer, S.L., Perumal, L., Anderson, M., Mostert, E., Kgope, B.S., Midgley, G.F. and Simpson, K.J., 2022. CO2‐fertilisation enhances resilience to browsing in the recruitment phase of an encroaching savanna tree. Functional Ecology, 36(12), pp.3223-3233.

Thoithi, W., Blamey, R. and C.J.C. Reason, 2023: April 2022 floods over east coast South Africa: Interactions between a mesoscale convective System and a coastal meso-low. Atmosphere, 14, 78. https://doi.org/10.3390/ atmos14010078.

van Blerk, J.J., West, A.G., Smit, J., Altwegg, R. and Hoffman, M.T., 2022. UAVs improve detection of seasonal growth responses during post-fire shrubland recovery. Landscape Ecology, 37(12), pp.3179-3199. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-022-01535-4.


Baso, N.C., Coetzee, J.A., Ripley, B.S. and Hill, M.P., 2021. The effects of elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration on the biological control of invasive aquatic weeds. Aquatic Botany, 170, p.103348.

De Kock, W.M., R.C. Blamey and C.J.C. Reason, 2021: Large summer rainfall events and their importance in mitigating droughts over the South Western Cape, South Africa. J. Hydrometeorology, 22, 587-599. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0123.1

Engelbrecht C.J., Phakula S., Landman W.A., Engelbrecht F.A.. (2021). Subseasonal deterministic prediction skill of low-level geopotential height affecting southern Africa. Weather and Forecasting, 36, 195-205, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-20-0008.1.

Ffion Atkins, J., Flügel, T. and Hugman, R., 2021. The urban water metabolism of Cape Town: Towards becoming a water sensitive city. South African Journal of Science, 117(5-6), pp.1-11.

Mason, S.J., Ferro, C.A.T., Landman, W.A. (2021). Forecasts of "normal". Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (735), 1225-1236, doi: 10.1002/qj.3968.

Mawren, D., J. Hermes and C.J.C. Reason, 2021: Marine heatwaves in the Mozambique Channel. Climate Dyn., doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05909-3

Picas, J.A. and Grab, S.W., 2021. Reconstruction of cold front frequency over cape town, South Africa, using daily mean sea level pressure values: 1834–1899. International Journal of Climatology, 41(3), pp.1784-1800.

van Blerk, J.J., West, A.G., Altwegg, R. and Hoffman, M.T., 2021. Does a trade‐off between growth plasticity and resource conservatism mediate post‐fire shrubland responses to rainfall seasonality?. New Phytologist, 230(4), pp.1407-1420.

Thoithi, W., R.C. Blamey and C.J.C. Reason, 2021: Dry spells, wet days and their trends across southern Africa during the summer rainy season, Geophys. Res. Lett., 48(5), e2020GL091041, doi: 10.1029/2020GL091041.

Wernecke, B., Mathee, A., Kunene, Z., Balakrishna, Y., Kapwata, T., Mogotsi, M., Sweijd, N., Minakawa, N. and Wright, C.Y., 2021. Tracking progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals in four rural villages in Limpopo, South Africa. Annals of Global Health, 87(1).


Barimalala, R., Blamey, R.C., Desbiolles, F. and Reason, C.J., 2020. Variability in the Mozambique Channel trough and impacts on southeast African rainfall. Journal of Climate, 33(2), pp.749-765.

Desbiolles, F., Howard, E., Blamey, R.C., Barimalala, R., Hart, N.C. and Reason, C.J., 2020. Role of ocean mesoscale structures in shaping the Angola-Low pressure system and the southern Africa rainfall. Climate Dynamics, 54, pp.3685-3704.

Emanuel, M.P., Pillay, D., van der Merwe, M. and Branch, G.M., 2020. Interactive effects of pH and temperature on native and alien mussels from the west coast of South Africa. African Journal of Marine Science, 42(1), pp.1-12.

Gillson, L. and Ekblom, A., 2020. Using palaeoecology to explore the resilience of southern African savannas. Koedoe: African Protected Area Conservation and Science, 62(1), pp.1-12.

Gillson, L., MacPherson, A.J. and Hoffman, M.T., 2020. Contrasting mechanisms of resilience at mesic and semi-arid boundaries of fynbos, a mega-diverse heathland of South Africa. Ecological complexity, 42, p.100827.

Gore, M., Abiodun, B.J. and Kucharski, F., 2020. Understanding the influence of ENSO patterns on drought over southern Africa using SPEEDY. Climate Dynamics, 54(1-2), pp.307-327.

Kapwata, T., Mathee, A., Sweijd, N., Minakawa, N., Mogotsi, M., Kunene, Z. and Wright, C.Y., 2020. Spatial assessment of heavy metals contamination in household garden soils in rural Limpopo Province, South Africa. Environmental Geochemistry and Health, 42, pp.4181-4191.

Landman, W.A., Sweijd, N., Masedi, N. and Minakawa, N., 2020. The development and prudent application of climate-based forecasts of seasonal malaria in the Limpopo province in South Africa. Environmental Development, 35, p.100522.

Longandjo, G.N.T. and Rouault, M., 2020. On the structure of the regional-scale circulation over central Africa: seasonal evolution, variability, and mechanisms. Journal of Climate, 33(1), pp.145-162.

Mahlalela, P.T., Blamey, R.C., Hart, N.C.G. and Reason, C.J.C., 2020. Drought in the Eastern Cape region of South Africa and trends in rainfall characteristics. Climate Dynamics, 55, pp.2743-2759.

Mawren, D., Hermes, J. and Reason, C.J.C., 2020. Exceptional tropical cyclone Kenneth in the far northern Mozambique Channel and ocean eddy influences. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(16), p.e2020GL088715.

Mkuhlani, S., Crespo, O., Rusere, F., Zhou, L. and Francis, J., 2020. Classification of small-scale farmers for improved rainfall variability management in South Africa. Agroecology and Sustainable Food Systems, 44(1), pp.7-29.

Rapolaki, R.S., Blamey, R.C., Hermes, J.C. and Reason, C.J.C., 2020. Moisture sources associated with heavy rainfall over the Limpopo River Basin, southern Africa. Climate Dynamics, 55, pp.1473-1487.

Smit, A.J., Fitchett, J.M., Engelbrecht, F.A., Scholes, R.J., Dzhivhuho, G. and Sweijd, N.A., 2020. Winter is coming: a southern hemisphere perspective of the environmental drivers of SARS-CoV-2 and the potential seasonality of COVID-19. International journal of environmental research and public health, 17(16), p.5634.

Smith, M.E. and Bernard, S., 2020. Satellite ocean color based harmful algal bloom indicators for aquaculture decision support in the southern Benguela. Frontiers in Marine Science, p.61.

Sweijd, N.A. and Smit, A.J., 2020. Trends in sea surface temperature and chlorophyll-a in the seven African Large Marine Ecosystems. Environmental Development, 36, p.100585.

Zaitchik, B.F., Sweijd, N., Shumake-Guillemot, J., Morse, A., Gordon, C., Marty, A., Trtanj, J., Luterbacher, J., Botai, J., Behera, S. and Lu, Y., 2020. A framework for research linking weather, climate and COVID-19. Nature Communications, 11(1), p.5730.


Doi, T., Behera, S.K. and Yamagata, T., 2019. Merits of a 108-member ensemble system in ENSO and IOD predictions. Journal of Climate, 32(3), pp.957-972.

Egbebiyi, T.S., Crespo, O. and Lennard, C., 2019. Defining crop–climate departure in West Africa: improved understanding of the timing of future changes in crop suitability. Climate, 7(9), p.101.

Gillson, L., Biggs, H., Smit, I.P., Virah-Sawmy, M. and Rogers, K., 2019. Finding common ground between adaptive management and evidence-based approaches to biodiversity conservation. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 34(1), pp.31-44.

Gillson, L., Whitlock, C. and Humphrey, G., 2019. Resilience and fire management in the Anthropocene. Ecology and Society, 24(3).

Grenfell, S.E., Fortune, F., Mamphoka, M.F. and Sanderson, N., 2019. Coastal wetland resilience to climate change: modelling ecosystem response to rising sea level and salinity in a variable climate. Anthropocene Coasts, 2(1), pp.1-20.

Ikeda, T., Kapwata, T., Behera, S.K., Minakawa, N., Hashizume, M., Sweijd, N., Mathee, A. and Wright, C.Y., 2019. Climatic factors in relation to diarrhoea hospital admissions in rural Limpopo, South Africa. Atmosphere, 10(9), p.522.

Imbol Koungue, R.A., Rouault, M., Illig, S., Brandt, P. and Jouanno, J., 2019. Benguela Niños and Benguela Niñas in forced ocean simulation from 1958 to 2015. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 124(8), pp.5923-5951.

Imbol Nkwinkwa N, A.S., Rouault, M. and Johannessen, J.A., 2019. Latent heat flux in the Agulhas Current. Remote Sensing, 11(13), p.1576.

Kim, Y., Ratnam, J.V., Morioka, Y., Behera, S., Tsuzuki, A., Minakawa, N., Sweijd, N., Kruger, P., Maharaj, R., Imai, C.C. and Ng, C.F.S., 2019. Malaria predictions based on seasonal climate forecasts in South Africa: A time series distributed lag nonlinear model. Scientific reports, 9(1), pp.1-10.

MacPherson, A.J., Gillson, L. and Hoffman, M.T., 2019. Between-and within-biome resistance and resilience at the fynbos-forest ecotone, South Africa. The Holocene, 29(11), pp.1801-1816.

Mkunyana, Y.P., Mazvimavi, D., Dzikiti, S. and Ntshidi, Z., 2019. A comparative assessment of water use by Acacia longifolia invasions occurring on hillslopes and riparian zones in the Cape Agulhas region of South Africa. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C, 112, pp.255-264.

Nguvava, M., Abiodun, B.J. and Otieno, F., 2019. Projecting drought characteristics over East African basins at specific global warming levels. Atmospheric Research, 228, pp.41-54.

Picas, J., Grab, S. and Allan, R., 2019. A 19th century daily surface pressure series for the Southwestern Cape region of South Africa: 1834–1899. International Journal of Climatology, 39(3), pp.1404-1414.

Prokosch, J., Bernitz, Z., Bernitz, H., Erni, B. and Altwegg, R., 2019. Are animals shrinking due to climate change? Temperature-mediated selection on body mass in mountain wagtails. Oecologia, 189(3), pp.841-849.

Rusere, F., Crespo, O., Mkuhlani, S. and Dicks, L.V., 2019. Developing pathways to improve smallholder agricultural productivity through ecological intensification technologies in semi-arid Limpopo, South Africa. African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development, 11(5), pp.543-553.

Shoko, C., Mutanga, O. and Dube, T., 2019. Remotely sensed C3 and C4 grass species aboveground biomass variability in response to seasonal climate and topography. African Journal of Ecology, 57(4), pp.477-489.


Abiodun, G.J., Witbooi, P. and Okosun, K.O., 2018. Modelling the impact of climatic variables on malaria transmission. Hacettepe Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, 47(2), pp.219-235.

Behera, S. and Yamagata, T., 2018. Climate dynamics of ENSO Modoki phenomena. In Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science.

Behera, S.K., Morioka, Y., Ikeda, T., Doi, T., Ratnam, J.V., Nonaka, M., Tsuzuki, A., Imai, C., Kim, Y., Hashizume, M. and Iwami, S., 2018. Malaria incidences in South Africa linked to a climate mode in southwestern Indian Ocean. Environmental development, 27, pp.47-57.

Blamey, R.C., Kolusu, S.R., Mahlalela, P., Todd, M.C. and Reason, C.J.C., 2018. The role of regional circulation features in regulating El Niño climate impacts over southern Africa: A comparison of the 2015/2016 drought with previous events. International Journal of Climatology, 38(11), pp.4276-4295.

Cherchi, A., Ambrizzi, T., Behera, S., Freitas, A.C.V., Morioka, Y. and Zhou, T., 2018. The response of subtropical highs to climate change. Current Climate Change Reports, 4, pp.371-382.

Forbes, C.J., Gillson, L. and Hoffman, M.T., 2018. Shifting baselines in a changing world: Identifying management targets in endangered heathlands of the Cape Floristic Region, South Africa. Anthropocene, 22, pp.81-93.

Griffith, D.J., Bone, E.L., Thomalla, S.J. and Bernard, S., 2018. Calibration of an in-water multi-excitation fluorometer for the measurement of phytoplankton chlorophyll-a fluorescence quantum yield. Optics Express, 26(15), pp.18863-18877.

Kapwata, T., Gebreslasie, M.T., Mathee, A. and Wright, C.Y., 2018. Current and potential future seasonal trends of indoor dwelling temperature and likely health risks in rural Southern Africa. International journal of environmental research and public health, 15(5), p.952.

Kapwata, T., Language, B., Piketh, S. and Wright, C.Y., 2018. Variation of indoor particulate matter concentrations and association with indoor/outdoor temperature: a case study in Rural Limpopo, South Africa. Atmosphere, 9(4), p.124.

Klutse, N.A.B., Ajayi, V.O., Gbobaniyi, E.O., Egbebiyi, T.S., Kouadio, K., Nkrumah, F., Quagraine, K.A., Olusegun, C., Diasso, U., Abiodun, B.J. and Lawal, K., 2018. Potential impact of 1.5 C and 2 C global warming on consecutive dry and wet days over West Africa. Environmental Research Letters, 13(5), p.055013.

Koseki, S., Pohl, B., Bhatt, B.C., Keenlyside, N. and Nkwinkwa Njouodo, A.S., 2018. Insights into the summer diurnal cycle over eastern South Africa. Monthly Weather Review, 146(12), pp.4339-4356.

Landman, W.A., Engelbrecht, F., Hewitson, B., Malherbe, J. and Van der Merwe, J., 2018. Towards bridging the gap between climate change projections and maize producers in South Africa. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 132, pp.1153-1163.

Longandjo, G.-N T. and M. Rouault (2018) Representation of the annual cycle of central Africa rainfall system in observations, reanalyses and ECHAM5.3. In preparation

Lu, Y., Yuan, J., Lu, X., Su, C., Zhang, Y., Wang, C., Cao, X., Li, Q., Su, J., Ittekkot, V. and Garbutt, R.A., 2018. Major threats of pollution and climate change to global coastal ecosystems and enhanced management for sustainability. Environmental Pollution, 239, pp.670-680.

MacPherson, A.J., Gillson, L. and Hoffman, M.T., 2018. Climatic buffering and anthropogenic degradation of a Mediterranean-type shrubland refugium at its semi-arid boundary, South Africa. The Holocene, 28(4), pp.651-666.

Mba, W.P., Longandjo, G.N.T., Moufouma-Okia, W., Bell, J.P., James, R., Vondou, D.A., Haensler, A., Fotso-Nguemo, T.C., Guenang, G.M., Tchotchou, A.L.D. and Kamsu-Tamo, P.H., 2018. Consequences of 1.5 C and 2 C global warming levels for temperature and precipitation changes over Central Africa. Environmental Research Letters, 13(5), p.055011.

Morioka, Y., Doi, T. and Behera, S.K., 2018. Decadal climate predictability in the southern Indian Ocean captured by SINTEX-F using a simple SST-nudging scheme. Scientific Reports, 8(1), p.1029.

Morioka, Y., Doi, T., Storto, A., Masina, S. and Behera, S.K., 2018. Role of subsurface ocean in decadal climate predictability over the South Atlantic. Scientific reports, 8(1), p.8523.

Nkwinkwa Njouodo, A.S., Koseki, S., Keenlyside, N. and Rouault, M., 2018. Atmospheric signature of the Agulhas Current. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(10), pp.5185-5193.

Otunola BO, Liu K. 2018. Mineralogy of some Cretaceous rocks around   the south-east coast of South Africa and their paleoenvironmental indications. Research Journal of Chemistry and Environment, Volume 22 (11):9-15.

Park, J.H., Kug, J.S., Li, T. and Behera, S.K., 2018. Predicting El Niño beyond 1-year lead: effect of the Western Hemisphere warm pool. Scientific reports, 8(1), p.14957.

Ratnam, J.V., Doi, T., Landman, W.A. and Behera, S.K., 2018. Seasonal forecasting of onset of summer rains over South Africa. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 57(12), pp.2697-2711.

Shoko, C., Mutanga, O. and Dube, T., 2018. Determining optimal new generation satellite derived metrics for accurate C3 and C4 grass species aboveground biomass estimation in South Africa. Remote Sensing, 10(4), p.564.

Shoko, C., Mutanga, O., Dube, T. and Slotow, R., 2018. Razanatsoa, E., Brahim, Y.A. and Schafstall, N., 2017. Characterizing the spatio-temporal variations of C3 and C4 dominated grasslands aboveground biomass in the Drakensberg, South Africa. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 68, pp.51-60.

Sousa, P.M., Blamey, R.C., Reason, C.J., Ramos, A.M. and Trigo, R.M., 2018. The ‘Day Zero’Cape Town drought and the poleward migration of moisture corridors. Environmental Research Letters, 13(12), p.124025.

Sweijd, N. and Wright, C.Y., 2018. Where have all the flowers gone?–Changing climate, seasons and weather and the challenges and opportunities for public health research. Southern African Journal of Infectious Diseases, 33(3), pp.3-5.

Zinyemba, C., Archer, E. and Rother, H.A., 2018. Climate variability, perceptions and political ecology: factors influencing changes in pesticide use over 30 years by Zimbabwean smallholder cotton producers. PloS one, 13(5), p.e0196901.


Abiodun, G.J., Witbooi, P. and Okosun, K.O., 2017. Modeling and analyzing the impact of temperature and rainfall on mosquito population dynamics over Kwazulu-Natal, South Africa. International Journal of Biomathematics, 10(04), p.1750055.

Abiodun, G.J., Witbooi, P.J. and Okosun, O.O., 2017. Mathematical modelling and analysis of mosquito-human malaria model. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS & STATISTICS, 38(3), pp.1-22.

Balvanera, P., Calderón-Contreras, R., Castro, A.J., Felipe-Lucia, M.R., Geijzendorffer, I.R., Jacobs, S., Martín-López, B., Arbieu, U., Speranza, C.I., Locatelli, B. and Harguindeguy, N.P., 2017. Interconnected place-based social–ecological research can inform global sustainability. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 29, pp.1-7.

Brill, G., Anderson, P. and O’Farrell, P., 2017. Methodological and empirical considerations when assessing freshwater ecosystem service provision in a developing city context: Making the best of what we have. Ecological Indicators, 76, pp.256-274.

Ekblom, A., Gillson, L. and Notelid, M., 2017. Water flow, ecological dynamics, and management in the lower Limpopo Valley: a long‐term view. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 4(5), p.e1228.

Ikeda, T., Behera, S.K., Morioka, Y., Minakawa, N., Hashizume, M., Tsuzuki, A., Maharaj, R. and Kruger, P., 2017. Seasonally lagged effects of climatic factors on malaria incidence in South Africa. Scientific reports, 7(1), p.2458.

Kusangaya, S., Warburton, M. and Archer van Garderen, E., 2017. Use of ACRU, a distributed hydrological model, to evaluate how errors from downscaled rainfall are propagated in simulated runoff in uMngeni catchment, South Africa. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 62(12), pp.1995-2011.

Nackley, L.L., West, A.G., Skowno, A.L. and Bond, W.J., 2017. The nebulous ecology of native invasions. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 32(11), pp.814-824.

Nchaba, T., Mpholo, M. and Lennard, C., 2017. Long‐term austral summer wind speed trends over southern Africa. International Journal of Climatology, 37(6), pp.2850-2862.

Razanatsoa, E., Brahim, Y.A. and Schafstall, N., 2017. Strategies in highlighting paleo research. Past Global Changes Magazine, 25(2), pp.105-105.

Rusere F., and Crespo O., 2017. A review on the potential of ecological intensification in improving smallholder farmers’ food security in Sub Saharan Africa (SSA). In press in Agriculture & food security 

Shoko, C. and Mutanga, O., 2017. Examining the strength of the newly-launched Sentinel 2 MSI sensor in detecting and discriminating subtle differences between C3 and C4 grass species. ISPRS journal of photogrammetry and remote sensing, 129, pp.32-40.

Skowno, A.L., Thompson, M.W., Hiestermann, J., Ripley, B., West, A.G. and Bond, W.J., 2017. Woodland expansion in South African grassy biomes based on satellite observations (1990–2013): general patterns and potential drivers. Global change biology, 23(6), pp.2358-2369.

Thorne, P.W., Allan, R.J., Ashcroft, L., Brohan, P., Dunn, R.H., Menne, M.J., Pearce, P.R., Picas, J., Willett, K.M., Benoy, M. and Bronnimann, S., 2017. Toward an integrated set of surface meteorological observations for climate science and applications. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98(12), pp.2689-2702.


Abiodun, G.J., Maharaj, R., Witbooi, P. and Okosun, K.O., 2016. Modelling the influence of temperature and rainfall on the population dynamics of Anopheles arabiensis. Malaria journal, 15(1), pp.1-15.

Adams, J.B., Veldkornet, D. and Tabot, P., 2016. Distribution of macrophyte species and habitats in South African estuaries. South African Journal of Botany, 107, pp.5-11.

Beraki, A.F., Landman, W.A., DeWitt, D. and Olivier, C., 2016. Global dynamical forecasting system conditioned to robust initial and boundary forcings: seasonal context. International Journal of Climatology, 36(14), pp.4455-4474.

Dieppois, B., Pohl, B., Rouault, M., New, M., Lawler, D. and Keenlyside, N., 2016. Interannual to interdecadal variability of winter and summer southern African rainfall, and their teleconnections. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121(11), pp.6215-6239.

Engelbrecht, C.J. and Landman, W.A., 2016. Interannual variability of seasonal rainfall over the Cape south coast of South Africa and synoptic type association. Climate dynamics, 47, pp.295-313.

Gersun, L., Anderson, R.J., Hart, J.R., Maneveldt, G.W. and Bolton, J.J., 2016. Sublittoral seaweed communities on natural and artificial substrata in a high-latitude coral community in South Africa. African Journal of Marine Science, 38(3), pp.303-316.

Hart, JR, Schleyer, MH. 2016. A novel settlement tile design to facilitate the in situ detection of coral recruits. Reef Encounters 31: 43-45

Mongwe, N.P., Chang, N. and Monteiro, P.M., 2016. . Ocean Modelling, 106, pp.90-103.

Morris, F., Toucher, M.W., Clulow, A., Kusangaya, S., Morris, C. and Bulcock, H., 2016. Improving the understanding of rainfall distribution and characterisation in the Cathedral Peak catchments using a geo-statistical technique. Water SA, 42(4), pp.684-693.

Muchuru, S., Landman, W.A. and DeWitt, D.G., 2016. Prediction of inflows into Lake Kariba using a combination of physical and empirical models. International Journal of Climatology, 36(6), pp.2570-2581.

Potts, A.J., Veldkornet, D.A. and Adams, J.B., 2016. A phylogeographic break in a South African coastal saltmarsh macrophyte, Juncus kraussii. South African Journal of Botany, 107, pp.80-83.

Ratnam, J.V., Behera, S.K., Doi, T., Ratna, S.B. and Landman, W.A., 2016. Improvements to the WRF seasonal hindcasts over South Africa by bias correcting the driving SINTEX-F2v CGCM fields. Journal of Climate, 29(8), pp.2815-2829.

Rouault, M., Verley, P. and Backeberg, B., 2016. Wind changes above warm Agulhas Current eddies. Ocean Science, 12(2), pp.495-506.

Shoko, C., Mutanga, O. and Dube, T., 2016. Progress in the remote sensing of C3 and C4 grass species aboveground biomass over time and space. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, 120, pp.13-24.

Timothy, D., Onisimo, M. and Riyad, I., 2016. Quantifying aboveground biomass in African environments: A review of the trade-offs between sensor estimation accuracy and costs. Tropical Ecology, 57(3), pp.393-405.

Veldkornet, D.A., Potts, A.J. and Adams, J.B., 2016. The distribution of salt marsh macrophyte species in relation to physicochemical variables. South African Journal of Botany, 107, pp.84-90.


Altwegg, R., De Klerk, H.M. and Midgley, G.F., 2015. Fire-mediated disruptive selection can explain the reseeder–resprouter dichotomy in Mediterranean-type vegetation. Oecologia, 177, pp.367-377.

Blamey, L.K., Shannon, L.J., Bolton, J.J., Crawford, R.J., Dufois, F., Evers-King, H., Griffiths, C.L., Hutchings, L., Jarre, A., Rouault, M. and Watermeyer, K.E., 2015. Ecosystem change in the southern Benguela and the underlying processes. Journal of Marine Systems, 144, pp.9-29.

Bussière, E.M., Underhill, L.G. and Altwegg, R., 2015. Patterns of bird migration phenology in South Africa suggest northern hemisphere climate as the most consistent driver of change. Global Change Biology, 21(6), pp.2179-2190.

Dube, T. and Mutanga, O., 2015. Evaluating the utility of the medium-spatial resolution Landsat 8 multispectral sensor in quantifying aboveground biomass in uMgeni catchment, South Africa. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, 101, pp.36-46.

Engelbrecht, C.J. and Engelbrecht, F.A., 2016. Shifts in Köppen-Geiger climate zones over southern Africa in relation to key global temperature goals. Theoretical and applied climatology, 123, pp.247-261.

Engelbrecht, C.J., Landman, W.A., Engelbrecht, F.A. and Malherbe, J., 2015. A synoptic decomposition of rainfall over the Cape south coast of South Africa. Climate Dynamics, 44, pp.2589-2607.

Matthew, O.J., Abiodun, B.J. and Salami, A.T., 2015. Modelling the impacts of climate variability on crop yields in Nigeria: performance evaluation of RegCM3‐GLAM system. Meteorological Applications, 22(2), pp.198-212.

Meque, A. and Abiodun, B.J., 2015. Simulating the link between ENSO and summer drought in Southern Africa using regional climate models. Climate Dynamics, 44, pp.1881-1900.

Peerbhay, K.Y., Mutanga, O. and Ismail, R., 2015. Random forests unsupervised classification: The detection and mapping of solanum mauritianum infestations in plantation forestry using hyperspectral data. IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing, 8(6), pp.3107-3122.

Scogings, P.F., Hattas, D., Skarpe, C., Hjältén, J., Dziba, L., Zobolo, A. and Rooke, T., 2015. Seasonal variations in nutrients and secondary metabolites in semi-arid savannas depend on year and species. Journal of Arid Environments, 114, pp.54-61. species

Tjelele, J., Ward, D. and Dziba, L., 2015. The effects of seed ingestion by livestock, dung fertilization, trampling, grass competition and fire on seedling establishment of two woody plant species. PLoS One, 10(2), p.e0117788.

Veldkornet, D.A., Adams, J.B. and Van Niekerk, L., 2015. Characteristics and landcover of estuarine boundaries: implications for the delineation of the South African estuarine functional zone. African Journal of marine science, 37(3), pp.313-323.


Altwegg, R., West, A., Gillson, L. and Midgley, G.F., 2014. Impacts of climate change in the Greater Cape Floristic Region. Fynbos: Ecology, evolution, and conservation of a megadiverse region, pp.299-320.

Ayeni, A.O., Kapangaziwiri, E., Soneye, A.S.O. and Engelbrecht, F.A., 2015. Assessing the impact of global changes on the surface water resources of Southwestern Nigeria. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 60(11), pp.1956-1971.

Beraki, A.F., DeWitt, D.G., Landman, W.A. and Olivier, C., 2014. Dynamical seasonal climate prediction using an ocean–atmosphere coupled climate model developed in partnership between South Africa and the IRI. Journal of climate, 27(4), pp.1719-1741.

Bopape, M.J.M., Engelbrecht, F.A., Randall, D.A. and Landman, W.A., 2014. Advances towards the development of a cloud-resolving model in South Africa. South African Journal of Science, 110(9-10), pp.01-12.

Dedekind, Z., Engelbrecht, F.A. and Van der Merwe, J., 2016. Model simulations of rainfall over southern Africa and its eastern escarpment. Water SA, 42(1), pp.129-143.

Dube, T., Mutanga, O. and Ismail, R., 2013. Predicting Eucalyptus stand volumes in African environments: An analysis using stochastic gradient boosting with multisource spatial data. ACCESS, 19, pp.18-20.

Dube, T., Mutanga, O., Adam, E. and Ismail, R., 2014. Intra-and-inter species biomass prediction in a plantation forest: testing the utility of high spatial resolution spaceborne multispectral rapideye sensor and advanced machine learning algorithms. Sensors, 14(8), pp.15348-15370.

Duckworth, G.D. and Altwegg, R., 2014. Environmental drivers of an urban hadeda ibis population. Ardea, 102(1), pp.21-29.

Gillson, L. and Marchant, R., 2014. From myopia to clarity: sharpening the focus of ecosystem management through the lens of palaeoecology. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 29(6), pp.317-325.

Hitayezu, P., Zegeye, E.W. and Ortmann, G.F., 2014. Some aspects of agricultural vulnerability to climate change in the KwaZulu-Natal Midlands, South Africa: A systematic review. Journal of Human Ecology, 48(3), pp.347-356.

Kovats, S., Lloyd, S. and Scovronick, N., 2014. Climate and health in informal urban settlements. International Institute for Environment and Development..

Kusangaya, S., Warburton, M.L., Van Garderen, E.A. and Jewitt, G.P., 2014. Impacts of climate change on water resources in southern Africa: A review. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts a/b/c, 67, pp.47-54.

Malherbe, J., Engelbrecht, F.A. and Landman, W.A., 2014. Response of the Southern Annular Mode to tidal forcing and the bidecadal rainfall cycle over subtropical southern Africa. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119(5), pp.2032-2049.

Malherbe, J., Landman, W.A. and Engelbrecht, F.A., 2014. The bi-decadal rainfall cycle, Southern Annular Mode and tropical cyclones over the Limpopo River Basin, southern Africa. Climate dynamics, 42, pp.3121-3138.

Mathole, K., Ndarana, T., Beraki, A. and Landman, W.A., 2014. Impact of lower stratospheric ozone on seasonal prediction systems. South African Journal of Science, 110(3-4), pp.01-09.

Mkhize, N.R., Scogings, P.F., Nsahlai, I.V. and Dziba, L.E., 2014. Diet selection of goats depends on season: roles of plant physical and chemical traits. African Journal of Range & Forage Science, 31(3), pp.209-214.

Muchuru, S., Landman, W.A., DeWitt, D. and Lötter, D., 2014. Seasonal rainfall predictability over the Lake Kariba catchment area. Water SA, 40(3), pp.461-470.

Nel, J.L., Le Maitre, D.C., Nel, D.C., Reyers, B., Archibald, S., Van Wilgen, B.W., Forsyth, G.G., Theron, A.K., O’Farrell, P.J., Kahinda, J.M.M. and Engelbrecht, F.A., 2014. Natural hazards in a changing world: a case for ecosystem-based management. PloS one, 9(5), p.e95942.

Nzotungicimpaye, C.M., Abiodun, B.J. and Steyn, D.G., 2014. Tropospheric ozone and its regional transport over Cape Town. Atmospheric Environment, 87, pp.228-238.

Peerbhay, K.Y., Mutanga, O. and Ismail, R., 2013. Investigating the capability of few strategically placed Worldview-2 multispectral bands to discriminate forest species in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing, 7(1), pp.307-316.

Peerbhay, K.Y., Mutanga, O. and Ismail, R., 2014. Does simultaneous variable selection and dimension reduction improve the classification of Pinus forest species?. Journal of Applied Remote Sensing, 8(1), pp.085194-085194.

Piketh, S.J., Vogel, C., Dunsmore, S., Culwick, C., Engelbrecht, F. and Akoon, I., 2014. Climate change and urban development in southern Africa: The case of Ekurhuleni Municipality (EMM) in South Africa. Water SA, 40(4), pp.749-758.

Pohl, B., Rouault, M. and Roy, S.S., 2014. Simulation of the annual and diurnal cycles of rainfall over South Africa by a regional climate model. Climate dynamics, 43, pp.2207-2226.

Rouault, M., Verley, P. and Backeberg, B., 2014. Wind increase above warm Agulhas Current eddies. Ocean Sci. Discuss, 11, pp.2367-2389.

Rouault, M., Verley, P. and Backeberg, B., 2014. Wind increase above warm Agulhas Current eddies. Ocean Sci. Discuss, 11, pp.2367-2389.

Scogings, P.F., Hjältén, J., Skarpe, C., Hattas, D., Zobolo, A., Dziba, L. and Rooke, T., 2014. Nutrient and secondary metabolite concentrations in a savanna are independently affected by large herbivores and shoot growth rate. Plant Ecology, 215, pp.73-82.

Tjelele, J., Ward, D. and Dziba, L., 2014. Diet quality modifies germination of Dichrostachys cinerea and Acacia nilotica seeds fed to ruminants. Rangeland Ecology & Management, 67(4), pp.423-428.

Wiese, L., Ros, I., Rozanov, A., Boshoff, A., de Clercq, W. and Seifert, T., 2016. An approach to soil carbon accounting and mapping using vertical distribution functions for known soil types. Geoderma, 263, pp.264-273.

Winsemius, H.C., Dutra, E., Engelbrecht, F.A., Archer Van Garderen, E., Wetterhall, F., Pappenberger, F. and Werner, M.G.F., 2014. The potential value of seasonal forecasts in a changing climate in southern Africa. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18(4), pp.1525-1538.